https://timeslaughingstocks.com/index.php?action=history&feed=atom&title=Strategy_Under_Uncertainty 2026-11-07T13:41:07Z Revision history for this page on the wiki MediaWiki 1.41.4 https://timeslaughingstocks.com/index.php?title=Strategy_Under_Uncertainty&diff=2160&oldid=prev 2011-04-15T17:07:45Z

<p></p> <table style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122;" data-mw="interface"> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <col class="diff-marker" /> <col class="diff-content" /> <tr class="diff-title" lang="en"> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">← Older revision</td> <td colspan="2" style="background-color: #fff; color: #202122; text-align: center;">Revision as of 11:07, 15 April 2011</td> </tr><tr><td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno" id="mw-diff-left-l24">Line 24:</td> <td colspan="2" class="diff-lineno">Line 24:</td></tr> <tr><td class="diff-marker"></td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>* Actively manage strategy</div></td><td class="diff-marker"></td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>* Actively manage strategy</div></td></tr> <tr><td class="diff-marker"></td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br></td><td class="diff-marker"></td><td style="background-color: #f8f9fa; color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #eaecf0; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><br></td></tr> <tr><td class="diff-marker" data-marker="−"></td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #ffe49c; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>[[Category:<del style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">Strategic</del>]]</div></td><td class="diff-marker" data-marker="+"></td><td style="color: #202122; font-size: 88%; border-style: solid; border-width: 1px 1px 1px 4px; border-radius: 0.33em; border-color: #a3d3ff; vertical-align: top; white-space: pre-wrap;"><div>[[Category:<ins style="font-weight: bold; text-decoration: none;">Strategy</ins>]]</div></td></tr> </table>

Paulreed https://timeslaughingstocks.com/index.php?title=Strategy_Under_Uncertainty&diff=324&oldid=prev 2010-12-23T14:57:26Z

<p>Created page with &quot;Four Levels of Uncertainty &#039;&#039;Clear enough future&#039;&#039; //One straight line// A single forecast is enough to determine strategy e.g. Stragey against a low cost entrant &#039;&#039;Alternate fu...&quot;</p> <p><b>New page</b></p><div>Four Levels of Uncertainty<br /> &#039;&#039;Clear enough future&#039;&#039; //One straight line// A single forecast is enough to determine strategy e.g. Stragey against a low cost entrant<br /> <br /> &#039;&#039;Alternate futures&#039;&#039; //lines of probability// A few discrete outcomes [[Game Theory]] [[Real Options]] eg capacity strategies for chemical companies<br /> <br /> &#039;&#039;A range of futures&#039;&#039; //X and Y graph// A arnge of possible outcomes Scenario Planning, Technology forecasting e.g. enetring emerging markets<br /> <br /> &#039;&#039;True ambiguity&#039;&#039; //Lines in all directions// No basis for a forecast Pattern Recognition. Russia after the collapse of communism<br /> <br /> !!Postures and Moves<br /> * Shapoe the future<br /> * Adapt the future<br /> * &quot;reserve the right to play&quot;<br /> <br /> !!Portfolio of actions<br /> * No regrets move - positive payoff in any scenario<br /> * Options - Significant payoff is some outcomes, small losses if negative<br /> * Big bets - focused strategies with huge potential payoffs<br /> <br /> !!Steps<br /> * Identify the nature of residual uncertainty<br /> * Chose a strategic posture<br /> * Build a portfolio of actions<br /> * Actively manage strategy<br /> <br /> [[Category:Strategic]]</div>

Paulreed